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In the weeks and months leading up to Tuesday’s election, much has been made of the growing gender gap between men and women. Except, now that we have the election results, it appears that the gender gap actually shrunk.
In 2020, President Joe Biden won women by a 15-point margin, 57% to 42%. This year, Vice President Kamala Harris won women by a much smaller 8-point, 53% to 45% margin.
But while the gap between men and women actually shrank this year, another gap widened. In 2020, married voters narrowly chose President Donald Trump by a 7-point, 53% to 46% margin. This year that margin grew to 13 points at 56% to 43%.
For all the talk of Trump’s problem with women, Trump actually won married women by three points, 51 to 48. To repeat, Trump won a majority of not just married white women, but a majority of all married women.
Trump also handily won married men 60-38 and he even eked out a victory among unmarried men 49-47. Where Trump got crushed was among unmarried women, who chose Harris (who didn’t get married until age 50, by the way) by a 60-38 margin.
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One more note should concern Republicans even as they enjoy the support of married men, married women, and unmarried men. The fastest-growing part of the electorate is unmarried women. According to the exit polls, for the first time ever, unmarried women outnumbered married women at the polls, 27% to 26%. Unmarried women have outnumbered unmarried men among voters for years, and that gap grew this cycle, 27% to 20%.
If the Republican Party does not reverse the decadeslong decline in marriage, we will soon all be living in a world dominated by unmarried women.
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