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Fertility rates in Western countries are below replacement level; immigration is not the answer

Fertility rates in Western countries are below replacement level; immigration is not the answer

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This article was originally published on The Expose. You can read the original article HERE

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Worldwide, fertility rates have halved from 60 years ago.  The global average fertility rate is now around 2.4.  This worrisome drop is approaching the 2.1 replacement level which is considered to be required for a stable population size.

Fertility rates vary significantly across countries and regions, with some countries having very high rates and others having very low rates. Countries in North America, Europe, Russia, China and some South American countries have fallen below the replacement level while some – for example in Africa, the Arabian peninsula and Afghanistan – have a fertility rate of 4 or more.

A knee-jerk reaction to sub-replacement level fertility rates could be one of the reasons Western governments are employing immigration-driven population growth to maintain population levels.  It is these immigration policies that are causing concern to the indigenous peoples of Western nations.

Mass immigration, as is the case with population decline or depopulation, has far-reaching consequences for a society’s demographics, economy and social fabric.  Contrary to what governments are imposing without citizens’ consent, mass immigration is not the answer.


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Worldwide Fertility Rates

Our World in Data has several graphical illustrations of fertility rates data.  Most are line graphs but some are maps of the world shaded in colours to represent differing fertility rate statistics across the world. The graphs are accompanied by an explanation of the varying statistics across the world and over time, and what is driving the rapid global change.

Below we have included the three graphics from the ‘Interactive charts on fertility rates’ section of Our World in Data’s webpage which show countries’ fertility rates using shaded areas on maps of the world.  Depending on the source, the latest data is for the year 2019, 2021 or 2022. While the images we have included are static, the graphs on Our World in Data’s website are interactive; if you hover over a particular country you can see the fertility rate for that country.

Countries with fertility rates above or below replacement level, 2021 (United Nations)

Fertility rates measure the average number of live births per woman. The “replacement level” is the rate at which population size remains constant from generation to generation; this is crudely defined as 2.1 births per woman.

To play a time-lapse of the image below, follow THIS link.

Fertility rate: children per woman, 2019 (World Bank)

The fertility rate, expressed as the number of children per woman, is based on age-specific fertility rates in one particular year.

To play a time-lapse of the image below, follow THIS link.

Fertility rate: children per woman, 2022 (Gapminder)

The fertility rate, expressed as the number of children per woman, is based on age-specific fertility rates in one particular year.

To play a time-lapse of the statice image below, follow THIS link.

Consequences of Sub-Replacement Fertility

The following is extracted from an AI-generated answer provided by the Brave Internet browser. For this answer, we typed the query “What does fertility rate below replacement level do?”  We have not verified the critical facts as Brave advises at the end of its answer.

A fertility rate below replacement level, typically defined as an average of 2.1 children per woman, can have far-reaching consequences for a society’s demographics, economy and social fabric.

1. Population Decline: A sustained fertility rate below replacement level will eventually lead to a decline in population size. This is because each new generation will be smaller than the previous one, resulting in a shrinking population over time.

    2. Aging Population: With fewer children being born, the proportion of elderly citizens will increase relative to the working-age population. This can lead to:

    • Strained pension systems and healthcare services.
    • Reduced tax base and increased burden on younger generations.
    • Potential labour shortages and economic challenges.

    3. Workforce and Economic Consequences:

    • Reduced workforce participation and economic growth.
    • Increased pressure on social security systems and public services.
    • Potential for economic stagnation or decline.

    4. Migration and Immigration: To mitigate the effects of a shrinking population, governments may rely more heavily on immigration to maintain a stable workforce and economy. This can lead to cultural and social changes.

      5. Changes in Family Structure and Social Dynamics: With fewer children, family structures and social dynamics may evolve, potentially leading to:

      • Increased focus on education and career development.
      • Shifts in family values and priorities.
      • Changes in intergenerational relationships and support networks.

      6. Long-term Sustainability: A fertility rate below replacement level can threaten the long-term sustainability of a society, as it may not be able to maintain its current population size or economic growth.

        Further resources:

        Why The UN and Billionaires are Relocating People from War-Torn Nations

        There are many reasons why indigenous populations are concerned by their government’s immigration policies.  For example, the UK’s immigration-driven population growth is placing significant pressure on various public services:

        • the influx of migrants has led to a surge in GP registrations;
        • the increasing student population has put a strain on schools;
        • the growing population has contributed to congestion on roads and public transportation; and,
        • the UK’s natural resources, such as water and energy, are being stretched to accommodate the expanded population.

        However, there is an additional and significant area of concern: The replacement of indigenous peoples or people of European heritage, their religion and their culture.  To highlight this concern, host of Liberty Talk Canada Odessa Orlewicz shared a short video with the comment:

        The video Orlewicz shared (below) sums up part of what many millions in Western countries are concerned about – excessive immigration leading to the usurping of their land and culture by foreign influences and/or ideologies. 

        We include the video, which may be controversial for some, not to encourage action towards any particular group.  We include it because the concerns of the people who call Western countries their homeland are being ignored, brushed aside, censored and even criminalised by governments and their collaborators.  Thus, the purpose of sharing the video is so that these concerns can be openly aired and debated by the general public.  Without public discourse, public concerns cannot be addressed or resolved.  We should do what our governments and their collaborators are attempting to deny us; publicly discuss and debate our grievances and concerns.

        Odessa Orlewicz: This Is Why The UN & Billionaires Are Relocating Humans From War Torn Nations. It’s All Big Business & Economy, 8 August 2024 (6 mins)

        If you are unable to watch the video above on Rumble, You can watch it on Librti HERE.

        For those who feel that concerns relating to mass immigration are unjustified, the following are two examples – one in Ireland and the other in England – that suggest a plan to replace the declining native population with immigrants; and, immigrants preferring to be independent rather than value the land where they have chosen to make their home.

        Sinister Vision of an Irish White Minority

        The following is an excerpt from an article written by David Craig and published by The Conservative Woman.

        Recent events suggest there may be concern in some sections of Irish society at the current levels of immigration. But the Irish are lucky. Their ruling elites have already told them how many migrants they, as signatories to the UN Compact on Safe and Orderly Migration, expect to import over the next 16 years.

        In 2018, the Irish government published a national planning strategy called ‘Project Ireland 2040’.

        The main problem with Plan 2040 is the expected increase in population of about one million. The Irish birth rate is around 1.9 children per woman down from four per woman in the 1960s and 1970s. The UK is at 1.8. But the replacement level is 2.1 children per woman. The indigenous Irish population is actually declining.

        So, where will the extra one million people come from? Clearly through immigration from Africa, Asia and the Middle East. That’s 50,000 a year for the 21 years from 2019 to 2040 – about 1,000 a week.

        Let’s assume that the indigenous population will decline to about 4 million by 2040 … Then, of the 5.8 million who (the Irish government predicts) will be living in Ireland by 2040, around 1.8 million – almost one in three – will be an immigrant, mostly from Africa, the Middle East and Asia.

        Pakistanis Take Over British Streets to Celebrate Independence from Britain

        By Jack Montgomery, The National Pulse, 15 August 2024

        Pakistani migrants, dual nationals, and British citizens of Pakistani descent took over streets in several British cities on Wednesday to celebrate Pakistan’s independence from Britain. In some cases, the rowdy celebrations were actively facilitated by the police shutting down roads for them – angering English soccer fans who were subjected to an anti-social behaviour dispersal order when the national team played in the European Football Championship finals in July.

        Media coverage of the celebrations, which come as Britain is wracked with anti-mass migration demonstrations and Muslim and far-left counter-demonstrations, is limited. However, footage uploaded to social media by revellers shows crowds with Pakistani flags and cars wrapped in Pakistani colours cheering their independence from Britain, lighting fireworks, and honking horns long into the night in cities including London, Birmingham, and Manchester.

        Some municipal governments in areas with large Pakistani heritage populations marked Pakistani Independence Day by lighting buildings such as public libraries in Pakistani colours.

        Britain’s 2021 census registered 1.6 million British Pakistanis, and annual Pakistani immigration has been accelerating in recent years – up from 21,000 in 2019 to 83,000 in 2023. Much of the demographic is poorly integrated, with around 46 per cent of Pakistani heritage newborns in Bradford, a significant Muslim population centre, being the result of marriages between first cousins. Pakistanis are also the most unemployed demographic in Britain and are disproportionately likely to be arrested.

        Pakistan separated from the British alongside India and East Pakistan, now Bangladesh, in 1947. Under the British, the three nations had been united as a single state, but a partition along religious lines was forced by pressure from the Muslim League. This partition was marked by up to two million killings and the displacement of over ten million people, mostly Hindus and Sikhs.

        Saffys World UK: Jashne Azadi Celebration in Birmingham | Independence Day Celebrations at Ladypool Road, 14 August 2024 (8 mins)

        Featured image taken from ‘Even Sweden Doesn’t Want Migrants Anymore’, Foreign Policy, 17 November 2021

        This article was originally published by The Expose. We only curate news from sources that align with the core values of our intended conservative audience. If you like the news you read here we encourage you to utilize the original sources for even more great news and opinions you can trust!

        Read Original Article HERE



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