Put Your AD here!

Morning Consult Drops Shocking Battleground Polling for Kamala Harris, but There's Reason for Pause

Morning Consult Drops Shocking Battleground Polling for Kamala Harris, but There's Reason for Pause

Share To Alt-Tech



This article was originally published on RedState. You can read the original article HERE

Are Republicans heading toward another red wave that wasn't? That's the story if a new round of battleground polls from Morning Consult is to be believed. 

Tuesday afternoon brought about the pollster's latest release, and it was almost universally excellent news for Kamala Harris. For the first time in a very long time, a survey found Trump losing most of the swing states, including Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Arizona. 

Advertisement

Trump hasn't trailed in a poll of Nevada since the general election started. Arizona has also been solidly in his corner. Georgia being tied is yet another red flag, and if North Carolina is that close on election night, then Harris will be president. 

With all that said, there's reason for pause here. I'm not going to blow smoke up anyone's backside or outright dismiss polls that don't fit my desired outcome, but that doesn't mean I can't take an honest and analytical look at what's being presented here. 


ALSO SEE: New Harvard/Harris Poll and DNC Leaks May Sink Kamala Harris' Ship


To start, it is exceptionally hard to believe that Trump is up four points in Pennsylvania but down 11 points in Michigan. That's a spread that simply makes no sense whatsoever. Further, that margin for Harris in Michigan would be larger than Gretchen Whitmer's victory in 2022. Does that seem likely? It just doesn't seem to add up. Those two states have been extremely close in the last two presidential elections. For them to be 15 points apart is just not probable. 

Advertisement

Then there's the fact that Morning Consult has been an outlier throughout this presidential cycle. For example, they had Biden winning a significant margin in both Pennsylvania and Michigan post-debate when every other pollster showed him crashing and burning. They also had the president only losing by one point in Georgia (Harris is tied according to the latest survey). 

Lastly, the sample sizes here should be noted. The smaller the sample size is, the more likely a poll is to be less than representative and produce illogical results. Morning Consult's latest slate polled only 437 people in each state. That's a tiny sample size and could explain why the Pennslyvania and Michigan results simply make no sense. 

With all that said, I'm hesitant to outright dismiss these polls because I've just been burned too many times in the past. Throw these in the averages and move forward, but also acknowledge there's ample evidence that Harris has put the race in doubt. The Trump campaign, which spent Tuesday denouncing Project 2025 again (for some reason), is in a defensive posture right now. They need to quickly get back on the offensive. Too much is at stake to let this slip away.

Advertisement

This article was originally published by RedState. We only curate news from sources that align with the core values of our intended conservative audience. If you like the news you read here we encourage you to utilize the original sources for even more great news and opinions you can trust!

Read Original Article HERE



YubNub Promo
Header Banner

Comments

  Contact Us
  • Postal Service
    YubNub Digital Media
    361 Patricia Drive
    New Smyrna Beach, FL 32168
  • E-mail
    admin@yubnub.digital
  Follow Us
  About

YubNub! It Means FREEDOM! The Freedom To Experience Your Daily News Intake Without All The Liberal Dribble And Leftist Lunacy!.


Our mission is to provide a healthy and uncensored news environment for conservative audiences that appreciate real, unfiltered news reporting. Our admin team has handpicked only the most reputable and reliable conservative sources that align with our core values.