There are just over four months left until the election and a new survey in several battleground states shows that former President Donald Trump is ahead of President Joe Biden.

Between June 13 and 18, 1,000 registered voters in seven key states took part in an Emerson College/The Hill.

In Wisconsin, 47% of people who answered said they would vote for President Trump and 44% said they would vote for Vice President Biden. Nine percent of those who answered weren’t sure. Because of how he handled the war in Gaza, Biden has lost support in the state among the most extreme Democrats.

Republicans want to replace Senator Tammy Baldwin with Eric Hovde, who has Trump’s support. The poll found that he was only two percentage points behind Baldwin.

There were 47 percent of people in Pennsylvania who chose Trump over Biden (47 percent vs. 45 percent), and 7 percent who weren’t sure. David McCormick, a Republican Senate candidate who has Trump’s support, is six percentage points behind Democratic incumbent Senator Bob Casey.

However, he could use Trump’s support on election day to win the spot for the Republicans.

Michigan and Minnesota had the closest races. Trump got 1% of the vote in Michigan and tied with Biden in Minnesota. Republicans want to replace retired Senator Debbie Stabenow with Mike Rogers, who has Trump’s support.

With no leader having an edge, the race will be very close. Amy Klobuchar, a Democrat from Minnesota, is running for re-election, but her opponent is already behind by more than ten points.

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In Arizona, Trump was ahead by four percentage points, and 47% of people who answered said they would vote for the 45th president on November 5. 43% said they wouldn’t decide yet, and 10% said they would vote for Biden.

In Georgia, Trump also won by four percentage points over Biden, but a huge 14% of voters said they still weren’t sure.

In Nevada, 46% of people who answered the report supported Trump, 43% supported Biden, and 12% were not sure.

🇺🇲 2024 GE: Emerson/The Hill

GEORGIA
🟥 Trump: 45% (+8)
🟦 Biden: 37%
🟨 RFK Jr: 6%
🟩 Stein: 1%
🟨 West: 1%
—
MINNESOTA
🟥 Trump: 42% (+1)
🟦 Biden: 41%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
🟩 Stein: 1%
🟨 West: 1%
—
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump: 44% (+2)
🟦 Biden: 42%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
🟩 Stein: 1%
🟨 West: 1%… https://t.co/AkQGtSPeIY pic.twitter.com/URwZ07CBpc

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 20, 2024

A separate new poll found that Trump leads President Biden by twice his margin of victory in the Lone Star State four years ago in the contest for Texas’ 40 electoral votes, according to a new poll.

A Marist College survey shows Republican Sen. Ted Cruz leading Democratic opponent Rep. Colin Allred by six points in a crucial Senate contest as the GOP looks to recapture the majority in the chamber in November’s elections.

In 2020, Trump defeated Biden in Texas by about 5.5 points, the narrowest victory margin for a Republican presidential candidate in a deeply red state in almost 25 years.

“Independents, who Biden carried by 6 percentage points in 2020, now break for Trump. Trump receives 56% of Texas independents to 41% for Biden,” the release from Marist highlights.

According to the poll, Trump has significantly increased his support among black and Latino voters, while Biden appears to have lost ground with younger voters.

According to the survey, Trump is leading Biden by 48%, Kennedy is trailing at 15%, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a Democrat who turned independent, is among the three potential presidential candidates.

With 27% of voters, immigration was the most pressing concern in Texas, a state that borders Mexico by 1,254 miles.

The survey found that maintaining democracy (ranked first at 24%) and inflation (ranked second at 26%) were the two most important issues.

Polling has not been good for Biden this month.

In a separate USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll, Trump defeated Biden 40% to 38%, drawing a near-tie in a volatile electorate as the candidates get underway.

Concerns about immigration (24%) and challenges to democracy (23%) trailed closely behind voters’ rankings of inflation and the economy, which accounted for 29% of their vote.

Abortion was the only other topic to reach double digits, coming in at 10%.

Another new survey shows Biden falling further behind Trump on the issues voters care most about this election year.

According to the ABC/Ipsos poll conducted between March 8 and 9, 36 percent of respondents said that they trusted Trump compared to 33 percent who said they trusted Biden, while 30 percent said neither candidate had their trust.

Trump received higher ratings than Biden on all issues except abortion and climate change when respondents were asked about their opinions on the job performance of both presidents.

Trump garnered a 49 percent favorable rating on the economy, contrasting with Biden’s 37 percent.

Regarding inflation, 45 percent approved of Trump, compared to 31 percent for Biden. Regarding crime, Trump was viewed more favorably at 41 percent compared to Biden’s 35 percent.

Similarly, on immigration, the former president received a 45 percent favorable rating, while Biden trailed with 29 percent.

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