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US fiscal health risks increase after Trump win, likely GOP control of Congress, Moody’s warns

US fiscal health risks increase after Trump win, likely GOP control of Congress, Moody’s warns

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This article was originally published on NY Post - Business. You can read the original article HERE

The US fiscal health is at higher risk after the election of Republican Donald Trump as the next president and given the likely composition of Congress, said rating agency Moody’s.

US budget deficits and government debt levels were largely projected to surge under either candidate in the Nov. 5 election, according to several estimates, although Democrat Kamala Harris was expected to add less debt than Trump.

Trump’s victory has contributed to a selloff in government bonds earlier this week as key elements of his economic plans such as tax cuts and tariffs are expected to lead to faster growth as well as higher inflation and wider budget deficits.

Trump supporters at rally this week.
Moody’s said the US fiscal health is at higher risk after the election of Donald Trump as the next president and given the likely composition of Congress. AFP via Getty Images

As of Friday, Trump’s Republicans appeared set to possibly win control of both chambers of Congress, a scenario that could allow for a faster implementation of new policies.

“In the absence of policy measures to help limit fiscal deficits, the federal government’s deteriorating fiscal strength will increasingly weigh on the US sovereign credit profile,” Moody’s said in a Nov. 7 note.

“Given the fiscal policies Trump promised while campaigning, and the high likelihood of their passage because of the changing composition of Congress, the risks to US fiscal strength have increased,” it added.

Moody’s remains the last of the three major rating agencies to maintain a top rating for the US government.

Moody's sign
Moody’s remains the last of the three major rating agencies to maintain a top rating for the government. EPA

It lowered the outlook on its triple-A US credit rating to “negative” from “stable” in November last year, and it typically “resolves” an outlook, meaning in case of a negative outlook it either brings it back to stable or goes ahead with a rating downgrade, within 18 to 24 months.

“With Republican control of the Legislature and the Executive, policy shifts could be implemented quickly,” said the agency.

This raised the risk of “potentially abrupt and sweeping changes in tax, trade, immigration and climate policies that could particularly affect manufacturing, technology and retail,” it said.

This article was originally published by NY Post - Business. We only curate news from sources that align with the core values of our intended conservative audience. If you like the news you read here we encourage you to utilize the original sources for even more great news and opinions you can trust!

Read Original Article HERE



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