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Vice President Kamala Harris lost decisively to former President Donald Trump on Tuesday, and it’s important to review just how badly she performed across the country.
From losing historically Blue counties and cities to underperforming with key Democrat demographics, here’s how Americans delivered the presidency to Trump.
Harris Lost In Areas That Haven’t Voted Republican In A Century
Harris lost in multiple areas that haven’t voted for a Republican presidential candidate in more than a century.
Trump eked out a win in Fall River, Massachusetts, which hasn’t voted for a GOP presidential candidate in 100 years.
🚨 If this holds, Donald Trump has become the first Republican in 100 years to win Fall River, MA, a postindustrial city among the country’s most Portuguese places (36%).
16% college, $53k median income. Shifted 36 points toward the GOP between 2012 and 2020 https://t.co/tK9GuSu7fm
— Alexander (@alexanderao) November 6, 2024
Calvin Coolidge, who was from Massachusetts, was the last Republican to win Fall River – in 1924.
Trump also won Starr County, Texas, which hasn’t voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1892. Starr County is also the most Hispanic county in the country.
Trump won Starr County TX, most Hispanic county in America at 97% by 16 points.
Last time it voted republican was in 1892.
— Ryan James Girdusky (@RyanGirdusky) November 6, 2024
In addition, Trump narrowly won Anson County, North Carolina, becoming only the second Republican presidential candidate to win the county since the 1870s. Anson County is also 40% black.
MATT WALSH’S ‘AM I RACIST?’ NOW STREAMING ON DAILYWIRE+
An interesting data point. Donald Trump just won Anson County, North Carolina. The county is 40% Black. Trump becomes just the second Republican to win this county since the 1870s. (For people keeping score, that means since Reconstruction).
— Darvio Morrow (@DTheKingpin) November 6, 2024
Trump also won Bucks County, Pennsylvania, the first Republican to do so since 1988. That’s obviously not a century, but it still shows just how historically bad Harris performed.
Donald Trump is the first Republican President to win Bucks County
since 1988.
CC: Bucks County, Bucks County, Bucks County pic.twitter.com/57reTqL4lK
— ThePersistence (@ScottPresler) November 6, 2024
Harris Underperformed With Voters Of Color
While Harris made some gains with white women who went to college, that advantage was wiped out by voters of color – both with and without a college degree – who moved further toward Trump than they had with Hillary Clinton or President Joe Biden.
Voters of color with college degrees voted for Harris by 35 percentage points, down from +43 for Biden in 2020 and +50 for Clinton in 2016. The drop in support from voters of color without a degree was even higher, with Harris still winning their support by 32 percentage points, down +46 for Biden and +56 for Clinton.
What truly amazing is Trump made massive inroads with voters of color with a degree, while Harris won whites with a college degree of both genders. pic.twitter.com/uj8pSKzq88
— Batya Ungar-Sargon (@bungarsargon) November 6, 2024
Harris Underperformed With Latino Voters
Biden won the Latino vote by 32 points in 2020, but Harris won their support by just 8 points. As mentioned earlier, Trump even won the most Hispanic county in the U.S. for the first time in more than 100 years.
Biden won Latinos by 32 points in 2020. Harris won them by just 8.
Biden won 18-29 year old voters by 24 in 2020. Harris won them by just 13.
The Trump victory isn’t just a mandate for him as he sweeps into office. It looks like he changed the voting coalitions in America too
— Chris Cillizza (@ChrisCillizza) November 6, 2024
Harris lost Latino men to Trump by 10 points, a demographic Biden won by 23 points in 2020, according to CNN exit polls. Harris also performed worse with Latina women, who voted +24 for Harris in 2024, but +39 for Biden in 2020. Trump also made gains with both demographics, earning 54% of the Latino vote and 37% of the Latina vote.
Harris Underperformed With Black Men
Harris also slightly underperformed Biden’s numbers with Black men, winning 78% of the black male vote while Biden won 79% of the same demographic in 2020. Harris did improve her standing with black women, as 92% voted for the vice president. In 2020, Biden won 90% of black women.
But in some key states, like Wisconsin, Trump vastly improved his standing with black men.
❗Donald Trump doubled his Black vote in Wisconsin. 2020: 8% vs. 2024: 20%. pic.twitter.com/vxcFsaM3io
— Ian Miles Cheong (@stillgray) November 6, 2024
Harris Underperformed With Jewish Voters In New York
Jews in New York swung toward Trump following anti-Semitic protests on liberal college campuses. Trump increased his share of the New York Jewish vote by 50%, the New York Post reported. Harris still won, but Trump increased his share from 30% in 2020 to 45% in 2024. Harris received 55% of the Jewish vote, down from Biden’s 69% in 2020.
Overall, however, Harris still received 79% of the Jewish vote.
Harris Lost The Catholic Vote, Which Biden Won
Trump also won the Catholic vote back from Biden, who won it in 2020 with 52% of the demographic. Trump won 56% of the Catholic vote on Tuesday.
Harris Lost Dearborn, Michigan
It is widely believed that Harris and the Democrats didn’t aggressively call out the anti-Semitism that swept the country following the October 7, 2023, terrorist attack on Israel in an attempt to win Muslim voters in Michigan. The plan appears to have backfired, as Dearborn, Michigan – which has the largest share of Muslim voters in the country – backed Trump, the Detroit Free Press reported.
Harris Underperformed In Deep Blue States
Harris won reliably Blue states, but by slimmer margins than Biden did in 2020. She only won New Jersey by 5 points and Illinois by 8 points, while Biden won New Jersey by nearly 16 points and Illinois by nearly 17 points.
Trump also came closer to winning New York than Harris came to winning either Florida or Texas.
Harris won New York with 55.8% of the vote to Trump’s 44.2%, a difference of 11.6 percentage points. That’s a smaller margin than in Florida, a previous swing state, and Texas, a state Democrats talk about turning Blue each election cycle.
Trump won Florida by 13.3 percentage points and Texas by 13.9 percentage points — major increases from his margins in 2020.
In 2020, Trump only won Florida by 3.3 percentage points and Texas by just 5.6 percentage points, while Joe Biden won New York by 23.2 percentage points, according to CNN.
Trump’s margin in New York this year also showed him making gains in the five boroughs of New York City.
The estimated red shift in New York City in this election is absolutely amazing.
Manhattan +4.5
Brooklyn +6
Staten Island +8
Queens +10.5
Bronx +11.5— Darel E. Paul (@darelmass) November 6, 2024
Harris Underperformed In Deep Blue Cities
Voters swung to the Right by large margins in some of America’s Bluest cities, including Miami, New York City, Chicago, and Dallas, Atlantic writer Derek Thompson reported.
Across the biggest metros—not just Miami, but also Chicago, NY, Dallas, Houston—Trump is improving on his 2020 margins by double digits.
Often *more* than his improvement in rural areas.
Some of these results are more complete than others, so caveat emptor, but: notable. pic.twitter.com/wEIQUEQJYN
— Derek Thompson (@DKThomp) November 6, 2024
Harris Underperformed In Nearly Every Major Demographic
Voters in nearly every demographic shifted rightward in 2024, except for white college women and people over 65, who moved slightly to the Left.
red wave is an understatement pic.twitter.com/oRJkGEYYY6
— ian bremmer (@ianbremmer) November 6, 2024
Harris Failed To Outperform Biden In All 50 States And Almost All Of America’s 4,600+ Counties
Harris received a smaller percentage of the vote than Biden in all 50 states, and she only outperformed Biden in 58 out of America’s more than 3,000 counties, The Daily Wire reported.
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