This article was originally published on Liberty Nation - Politics. You can read the original article HERE
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Coming up:
7 p.m. EST: Polls closing in Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont, and Virginia.
7:30 p.m. EST: Polls closing in North Carolina, Ohio, and West Virginia.
#BREAKING: Milwaukee to recount absentee ballots due to tabulation machine issues.
— Liberty Nation (@libertynation) November 5, 2024
6:00 p.m. ET: The first polls have started closing in parts of Kentucky and Indiana.
Indiana: Trump 61%, Harris 37% with 5% of votes in
Kentucky: Trump 66%, Harris 33% with 2% of votes in
Latest from Fox News Voter Analysis:
“Approximately two-thirds of voters (66%) favor reducing the number of immigrants allowed to seek asylum in the US, while another 33% oppose reduced migration.
“However, when asked about the status of those already in the US illegally, a narrow majority (56%) say they should be given the chance to seek legal status, while 43% say they should be deported.”
NBC News Exit Poll:
Nationwide
- Economy 30%
- State of Democracy 36%
- Abortion 14%
- Immigration 11%
- Foreign Policy 4%
Trump 51% to handle the economy; 7% Kamala Harris
Decision Desk HQ Final Election Day Senate Forecast:
Probabilities:
🟥 Republicans: 76% (+5 since last week)
🟦 Democrats: 24%Senate Seat Forecast:
🟥 Republicans: 51
🟦 Democrats: 46
🟨 Tossups: 3Average Seat Projection:
🟥 Republicans: 53
🟦 Democrats: 47Key Races:
🟨…— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 5, 2024
Kamala Wins Guam – But It’s Not Great News for Her
The results are in from Guam, and while Kamala Harris has won 49.46% to Trump’s 46.22%, this does not bode well for the Democrat hopeful. Guam’s results do not count towards the Electoral College and are treated more as an unofficial straw poll. Notably, in 2020, Joe Biden won Guam by 13 points; now, Harris has won by just three points. If this is indicative of a trend, it could be a very tough night for the Harris/Walz ticket.
Battle for the Battlegrounds
There are 43 states that are considered reasonably safe turf for either former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris. The remaining seven swing states will most likely be where the election is decided.
The candidates need 270 Electoral College votes to win the presidency. Here is where most pollsters assume they stand:
States including solid, likely and leaning.
As you can see, the states without a color fill are the swing states. Their EC vote totals with the very latest polling aggregate are:
- Arizona – 11 votes, Trump +3.2%
- Georgia – 13 votes, Trump +1.6%
- Michigan – 15 votes, Trump +0.2%
- Nevada – 6 votes, Trump +0.8%
- North Carolina – 16 votes, Trump +1%
- Pennsylvania – 19 votes, Trump +0.8%
- Wisconsin – 10 votes, Harris 0.2%
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