In a stunning turn of events, Kari Lake has pulled ahead of Democratic challenger Ruben Gallego for the first time in months.

She’s now grabbing 45.2% of the vote in a recent Data Orbital poll.

With Gallego trailing at 44.5%, this slight edge, though within the margin of error, could signal a major shift.

Currently the Senate is favoring Democrats 51-49.

But it looks like that’s about to change.

Lake’s rise could be the game changer needed for the GOP!

📊 AZ SENATE POLL: @atlas_intel

🟥 Lake: 48.6% (+0.7)
🟦 Gallego: 47.9%
🟪 Other: 1.4%
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Last 3 polls
9/27 – 🔵 Gallego +4.1
10/17 – 🔵 Gallego +3.5
10/25 – 🔵 Gallego +0.5
10/30 – 🔴 Lake +0.7
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#22 (2.7/3.0) | 10/30-31 | 1,005 LVhttps://t.co/tCayUocDZl. https://t.co/gK3YwPzv7P pic.twitter.com/VfvxwxcjBX

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 31, 2024

Newsweek reports:

According to polling aggregation sites like 538, Gallego holds a 6.2-point lead on Lake on average across statewide polling. The gap is a dip from the start of the month, however, when the Democratic nominee was up on Lake by 7.2 points on average.

The latest polling from AtlasIntel suggests that some voters may be casting a split ticket next week. While Gallego and Lake are practically tied in Arizona, former President Donald Trump is leading among likely voters in the key swing state, 50.8 percent to 47.3 percent. According to 538, Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in Arizona’s presidential race by 2.3 points on average.

According to a recent poll by The New York Times and Siena College, 10 percent of voters in Arizona plan to split their tickets, casting a ballot for Trump and Gallego.

That same survey conducted from October 7 to October 10, which includes the response of 808 likely voters, found Gallego leading Lake 48 percent to 41 percent.

The Telegraph adds:

The Republican has moved ahead of her Democratic challenger Ruben Gallego for the first time in months, potentially paving the way for the GOP to take control of the Senate. The polling, published by Data Orbital, shows the controversial Republican candidate on 45.2 per cent of the vote, narrowly ahead of her opponent on 44.5 per cent. Although the gap remains comfortably within the margin of error, it is the first time since July that a head-to-head poll has put the Republican candidate in the lead.

With the Senate currently tilted 51-49 in favour of the Democrats, the emergence of Ms Lake, an ardent Donald Trump ally, at this late stage could prove to be decisive in determining who controls the Senate under the next administration. It comes after the Republican candidate was involved in a heated exchange with CNN on Monday in which she refused to concede that she lost the 2022 governor’s race, despite being defeated by more than 17,000 votes.