In a speech at former President Donald Trump’s gathering at Madison Square Garden, former Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) said that voting for Democrat nominee Kamala Harris would be like voting for war.

Gabbard became a Republican last week after leaving the Democratic Party in 2022. To start her speech, she read from the Declaration of Independence: “We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, and that our Creator has endowed us with certain unalienable Rights, among these are life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.”

“As we gather here today on this historic occasion, we stand together as proud Americans in understanding that these very rights are under attack,” she said. “So we face this historic crossroads where our freedom and our future is in our hands. There’s never been a more clear choice in any election in my life, and our ability to live in a truly peaceful and free and prosperous country is on the line.”

Gabbard talked about her 20 years in the U.S. military and said that the problem of war was “very personal” to her.

“I’ve deployed to different war zones three times over that period, and I’ve seen the cost of war,” she said. “For my brothers and sisters who paid the ultimate price. I carry their memories and their sacrifice in my heart every day. So this choice that we have before us as Americans is critical. It’s important to us.”

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“It’s important to those of us who serve, who have volunteered to put our lives on the line for the safety, security and freedom of our country and our people, and it’s critical to all of us,” she continued. “Here is the choice that we have a vote for Kamala Harris is a vote for Dick Cheney and it’s a vote for war, more war, likely World War Three and nuclear war.”

“A vote for Donald Trump is a vote for a man who wants to end wars, not start them, and who has demonstrated already that he has the courage and strength to stand up and fight for peace,” she added. “A vote for Kamala Harris is a vote for open borders, where known violent criminals and Islamist terrorists are streaming across our borders, placing us at risk. A vote for Donald Trump is a vote for secure borders and safe communities and a confidence that he will seek out those who seek to do us harm and get them out.”

WATCH:

.@TulsiGabbard’s full speech at President Trump’s rally at Madison Square Garden pic.twitter.com/guNNlavp25

— Martin Walsh (@MWalshUS) October 28, 2024

Nate Silver’s most recent prediction is that Trump could win all of the important split states in the 2024 election.

Silver’s research shows that Trump has a 24.4% chance of winning all seven swing states in November. This is the most likely outcome. The forecast also says that Harris has a 15.6% chance of winning all the battleground states.

It also shows that Harris would win the race if she won all the swing states except Arizona and Georgia, where Trump is currently ahead.

His model, on the other hand, says that this is only 1.7% likely to happen. On the other hand, it’s 3.4% likely that Harris will win Georgia but not Arizona, and 2.9% likely that the Democrats will win Arizona but not Georgia.

The model shows that there is a 4.6% chance that the Republicans will win every swing state except Nevada, where Harris is currently ahead by a very small amount. In this case, Trump would win the election because the vice president would get 232 electoral college votes.

Silver’s overall prediction shows that Harris is most likely to win when Democrats win between three and five of the key states.

That’s how many electoral college votes the vice president would need to win if she only won Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. That’s an 86.2 percent chance of winning overall.

Polls show that Trump is ahead in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, while Harris is ahead in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada.

A tracker from FiveThirtyEight says the former president is ahead by 0.2 points in Pennsylvania, but a tracker from Silver says the state is tied.