All the latest polls, betting odds, and news. Updated Daily.

The tow contenders are essentially in a dead heat according to national polling. Trump makes his pitch on the Joe Rogan podcast. And the bell begins to toll. With just 10 days to go before the election, Liberty Nation News wants you to have the full facts. We update this page daily, so please bookmark it and keep checking back.

National Polling

According to the RealClearPolitics average of polls, Kamala Harris’ campaign continues to lose ground each day. Her average advantage has sunk to just 0.1% – putting the candidates in an effectual dead heat. The two latest polls from NYT/Siena and CNN have Trump and Harris tied on 48% and 47% respectively. Notably, the polls show a major turn when it comes to multi-candidate polling.

With the Green Party’s Jill Stein, independent Cornel West, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (even though he is now supporting Trump), the former president wins five of the last ten polls, draws in one, and loses to Harris in four. As the race enters its final days, pundits and pollsters suspect Donald Trump my take the national lead – something he has neve before achieved.

Battle for the Battlegrounds

The superb RealClearPolitics average of battleground polls grants Donald Trump a lead in all seven states. An average here suggests Trump is now ahead across these subsections by 0.9%. While this is valuable data, it is worth narrowing the lens. Liberty Nation News opted to take the average of only the five most recent surveys. We feel this provides a more up-to-date snapshot of the race as it stands today. Using this rubric:

• Arizona – Trump +1.4%
• Georgia – Trump +1.8%
• Michigan – Harris +0.2%
• Nevada – Trump +0.6%
• North Carolina – Trump +1.2%
• Pennsylvania – Trump +1.2%
• Wisconsin – Tie

Overall, Donald Trump has an average lead of 0.85% over the seven key swing states.

If the election were held today, based on these numbers, Donald Trump would win 287 Electoral College votes, enough to win the presidency – with ten votes still as a toss-up.

Betting on Election 2024

It is often the betting markets that prove most accurate when it comes to predicting electoral outcomes – and why wouldn’t they? It takes a high level of confidence to put one’s money on the line. On Election Day 2020, the odds* looked like this:

• Joe Biden: 4/7 (-175)
• Donald Trump: 6/4 (+150)

And the cash players turned out to be right. So, what do the gamblers have to say about November 5 this year?

• Donald Trump: 2/3 (-149.25)
• Kamala Harris: 17/11 (+154)

Trump’s probability of winning the election sits at 59.88% compared to Harris’ at 39.37%. Other notable betting options being played include:

• Donald Trump to win between 270 and 299 EC votes – 5/2 (+250) or a 28.57% probability
• Kamala Harris to win between 270 and 299 EC votes – 10/3 (+300) or a 25%  probability
• Donald Trump to win between 300 and 329 EC votes – 2/1 (+200) or a 33.33% probability
• Kamala Harris to win between 300 and 329 EC votes – 9/2 (+450) or an 18.18% probability

Significantly, according to the betting markets, the most likely scenario for this election remains that Trump wins between 300 and 329 EC votes. The second most likely is that Trump gets more than the required 270 but fewer than 300.

* Betting odds explained: Betting odds are displayed here in the British format, known as fractional odds, and the American format, often called moneyline odds. With fractional odds, the second number represents the amount of money bet, and the first number is the return. 3/5 means a winning bet of $5 would yield a $3 profit. Moneyline odds show a minus (-) or plus (+) symbol for favorites and underdogs, respectively. The favorite may have odds of -300, meaning somebody would have to bet $300 in order to win $100. An underdog might have odds of +250, meaning a person would win $250 on a $100 wager.

Read More on Liberty Nation News’ Election Coverage:

The Quadrennial Question: Can We Trust the Polls and Pundits?

Family Feud: Media Zeroes In on White House Warfare

Kamala’s Existential Crisis: Minority Voters Edging Toward Trump