Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are neck and neck in the Rust Belt, home to pivotal battleground states that could make or break the election for either candidate. 

The latest Siena College and New York Times poll was released on Saturday and came with less than 40 days until the November 5 election. The survey showed that Ms. Harris held a small lead over Mr. Trump in Michigan, 1 point, and in Wisconsin, 2 points, while the former president led his Democratic opponent by 5 points in Ohio. 

Both of Ms. Harris’ narrow margins over Mr. Trump were within the survey’s margin of error. 

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Overall, voters in the trio of states viewed Ms. Harris as a more favorable candidate, 48%, than Mr. Trump, 47%, while more voters across the three states identified as leaning toward the Republican party, 49%, than the Democratic party, 45%. 

The economy, abortion, and immigration were the top three issues for voters in each state, and voters believed that Mr. Trump would do a better job at dealing with the economy and immigration while Ms. Harris would do better with abortion. 

The survey also included the standings in the three crucial Senate races in each state, where the Democratic candidates all led their Republican opponents. 

In Wisconsin, Sen. Tammy Baldwin leads her Republican opponent, Eric Hovde, by 7 points. In the race to replace retiring Michigan Democrat Sen. Debbie Stabenow, Rep. Elissa Slotkin leads Republican Mike Rogers by 5 points. In Ohio, Sen. Sherrod Brown leads Republican Bernie Moreno by 4 points. 

The Rust Belt survey was conducted between Sept. 21 to Sept. 26 and included responses from 2,055 voters across each state. 

The Siena College poll also included data on Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, which has become a bellwether of sorts for presidential contests. President Biden flipped the district in 2020 and won it by nearly 7 points. 

Of the 680 voters surveyed in the congressional district, 51% said they would support Ms. Harris compared to 42% who will back Mr. Trump. 

Earlier this week, state lawmakers in Nebraska tried and failed to change the state’s Electoral College system count to a winner-take-all system, which would likely have benefitted Mr. Trump. Instead, a handful of Republican lawmakers blocked the push, meaning that whoever wins the popular vote in Nebraska will win three electoral votes, and the remaining two will go to the winner of the state’s congressional districts.