A new American Greatness poll shows Kamala Harris with a slight +1% lead in Nevada, well within the margin of error for the survey conducted by TIPP Insight of over 1000 voters in the Silver State.

23% of voters say they are still deciding. By a 60-33% margin, Nevadans say they were “better off” when Trump was in office.

When asked about their neighboring state of California, Kamala Harris’s home state, Nevada voters reject the California model. California Governor Gavin Newsom just signed legislation that bans impersonations in political ads and openly cited Elon Musk as a driving motivation for the new free speech restrictions. Nevada voters align with Elon Musk in this debate, with 57% backing Musk, 22% backing Newsom, and 21% unsure on the topic.

More generally, 18% say that the California model makes them more likely to support Harris while 40% say it makes them less likely to vote for the vice-president, with 35% saying it has no effect. Regarding Newsom’s law banning gasoline cars starting in 2025 in California, 26% of Nevada voters support that ban.

Over two-thirds (68%) of Nevadans believe that the media works on behalf of Kamala Harris and against President Trump. Among Nevada Democrats, exactly one/half (50%) believe the media works for Harris and against Trump.

On issues, Nevada voters say they trust Trump more on National Security by a +9% margin. On border protection, they prefer Trump by a +22% margin, 56-34%.

Trump currently earns 40% of Hispanic voters in Nevada and 30% of black voters.

About The Survey

TechnoMetrica conducted the American Greatness/TIPP survey from September 23 to September 25. The online study included a sample of 1,044 registered voters in Nevada provided by our panel partners. Using our likely voter model, we identified 736 respondents as likely voters in the November election. After the survey’s completion, TechnoMetrica weighted the dataset by gender, age, race, education, geographical region, and party affiliation to reflect known benchmarks from census, voter file data from the state, prior election results, and exit poll data. The weighted registered voter sample composition is 30% Democrats, 29% Republicans, and 40% independents. The survey’s credibility interval (CI) is ±3.7 percentage points for likely voter results, meaning the study is accurate within this range 19 times out of 20 if all registered voters in Nevada had been surveyed. Due to smaller sample sizes, subgroups based on gender, age, ethnicity, and region have higher credibility intervals.

Resources:

American Greatness/TIPP Poll Results